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Joe Manchin's affiliation in 2024 Senate race
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Independent • 33%
Democratic • 33%
Republican • 34%
West Virginia Secretary of State's Office
Story
West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, Lifelong Democrat, Leaves Party to Register as Independent
May 31, 2024, 02:52 PM
Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia, a lifelong Democrat, has announced his departure from the Democratic Party, registering as an independent with no party affiliation. Manchin cited the broken state of national politics, partisan extremism, and the unwillingness of both parties to compromise as reasons for his decision. This move has sparked speculation about his future political plans, including potential runs for governor or another Senate term, with June 1 being the deadline for changing party affiliation to run for office this fall. Manchin emphasized his commitment to putting the country before party and fighting for America's sensible majority. Despite his departure, it is not expected to significantly impact the day-to-day workings of the U.S. Senate.
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Similar markets
Democratic candidate • 33%
Republican candidate • 33%
Other/No endorsement • 34%
Continues to caucus with Democrats • 33%
Switches to Republican caucus • 33%
Becomes an independent without caucus alignment • 34%
Runs for Senate as Independent • 33%
Runs for Governor of West Virginia • 33%
Does not run for any office • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
No clear majority • 34%
