Loading...
Market
Iran's primary response to US 'maximum pressure' policy by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase nuclear enrichment • 25%
Seek diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Strengthen regional alliances • 25%
Conduct military exercises • 25%
Official statements from Iran or actions taken by the Iranian government
Story
Trump States No Interest in Regime Change in Iran, Plans to Revive 'Maximum Pressure' Policy
Nov 8, 2024, 05:32 PM
President-elect Trump has stated that he has no interest in pursuing regime change in Iran, emphasizing that the future of Iran will be decided by its people. Brian Hook, the diplomat in charge of the transition team at the State Department, reiterated this position in an interview with CNN. Despite this stance, Trump plans to revive the 'maximum pressure' policy on Iran, which includes supporting sanctions and backing potential Israeli strikes on nuclear sites. This approach aims to diplomatically isolate Iran and weaken its economy.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic retaliation • 25%
Increased oil transportation • 25%
Military actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased oil exports to non-US allies • 25%
Diversification of economy • 25%
Economic downturn • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military support to Houthis • 25%
Increased cyber-attacks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Increased missile development • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military support to Houthis • 25%
Cyberattack on US/UK • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Cyber attacks against U.S. • 25%
Military support to Houthis • 25%
Cyber attacks on U.S. interests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Retaliatory military action • 25%
Increased support for militias • 25%
No significant response • 25%