Loading...
Market
Iran's international response to charges in Trump plot by 2024?
1
Iranian•Donald Trump•FBI•Iran•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Manhattan•Farhad Shakeri•Trump•Qassem Soleimani•Justice Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Official denial • 25%
Retaliatory threats • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Outcome can be determined based on official statements from the Iranian government or state media.
Story
FBI Thwarts Iranian Plot to Assassinate President-elect Trump; Three Charged
Nov 8, 2024, 06:34 PM
The U.S. Justice Department announced criminal charges against three individuals in an alleged Iranian plot to assassinate President-elect Donald Trump before the election. The FBI thwarted the plan, which was orchestrated by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). According to a criminal complaint filed in federal court in Manhattan, an Iranian asset, Farhad Shakeri, 51, was instructed in September to surveil and ultimately kill Trump, possibly on October 7. The plot was reportedly motivated by vengeance for the U.S. killing of IRGC General Qassem Soleimani. The Justice Department unsealed the indictment on Friday, revealing the operative's role in directing a network of criminal associates to further Iran's assassination plans.
View original story
Similar markets
Iran denies the plot • 25%
Iran confirms the plot • 25%
Iran remains silent • 25%
Iran blames another entity • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Support for Iran • 25%
Call for investigation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Iran denies involvement • 25%
Iran issues a statement of non-denial • 25%
Iran admits involvement • 25%
No official response from Iran • 25%
Denial maintained • 25%
Formal apology issued • 25%
Retaliatory measures announced • 25%
Diplomatic engagement initiated • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Counter-accusations against the US • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased sanctions by EU • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
Retaliatory actions • 25%
No official response • 25%
