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Market
International Response to Chechen Incident by End of 2024
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
No formal response • 25%
Diplomatic protests by Chechnya or Russia • 25%
Sanctions proposed or enacted against the US • 25%
International legal action initiated • 25%
Official government statements, international news coverage
Story
U.S. Special Forces Colonel Kills Two Undocumented Chechens Near Fort Liberty
May 25, 2024, 12:23 PM
An elite U.S. Special Forces Army Colonel in Carthage, North Carolina, shot and killed an undocumented Chechen who was allegedly surveilling his home near Fort Liberty. The incident has raised concerns about increasing foreign surveillance of U.S. military personnel and their families. Reports indicate that two Chechen individuals, who were in the country illegally, were found outside the officer's home with a telephoto lens on their camera. The FBI has not yet opened a counterintelligence investigation into the matter.
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US condemnation • 33%
EU diplomatic response • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from US • 25%
Support from Russia • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN condemnation • 33%
Support from EU or NATO • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Diplomatic protests • 20%
Economic sanctions • 20%
Military aid to Russia • 20%
Military aid to Ukraine • 20%
No significant response • 20%
UN condemnation • 25%
NATO military response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased support to Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions or actions against Israel • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 33%
No significant international response • 33%
Condemnation • 25%
Call for restraint • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Support for Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on Afghanistan • 33%
UN sanctions against entities involved • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation • 25%
Support for Ukraine's actions • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation • 33%
Support • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Condemnation by the UN • 33%
Support from the US • 33%
No major international response • 34%