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Increased trade restrictions between Argentina and Spain by mid-2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trade data or official announcements from either country's government
Story
Argentina's Milei Sparks Diplomatic Row with Spain, Calls PM's Wife 'Corrupt'
May 19, 2024, 03:36 PM
Argentine President Javier Milei has sparked a diplomatic row during his three-day visit to Spain by making derogatory comments about Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez and his wife at a far-right rally in Madrid. Milei accused the socialist government of bringing 'poverty and death' to Spain and called Sanchez's wife 'corrupt.' In response, Spain has recalled its ambassador to Argentina for consultations. Milei's visit to Spain included attending the conservative VIVA 24 conference organized by the far-right Vox party and led by Santi Abascal, where he also criticized socialism and promoted his new book.
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Minor or no impact on trade volume • 33%
Improvement in trade relations • 34%
Diplomatic ties maintained but strained • 33%
Additional diplomatic actions taken • 33%
Diplomatic ties normalized • 34%
Expansion of operations • 33%
Reduction of operations • 33%
No impact on operations • 34%
Improved trade relations • 33%
Unchanged trade relations • 34%
Worsened trade relations • 33%
Continued current policies • 33%
New economic reforms announced • 33%
Policies become more restrictive • 33%
Increase in trade with Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Decrease in trade with Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in trade with non-Middle Eastern countries • 25%