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In which quarter will SpaceX launch the first Starship to Mars with Tesla payload by 2026?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Q1 2026 • 25%
Q2 2026 • 25%
Q3 2026 • 25%
Q4 2026 • 25%
Official announcements from SpaceX confirming the launch quarter
Story
Elon Musk Confirms SpaceX's Uncrewed Starship Will Send $TSLA Cybertrucks and Optimus Robots to Mars in Two Years
Nov 20, 2024, 03:35 PM
Elon Musk has announced that SpaceX's future uncrewed Starship missions to Mars will carry Tesla's Cybertrucks and Optimus robots as payload. Musk stated that these missions are expected to commence within two years. This development marks a significant step in SpaceX's plans for interplanetary transport, as the inclusion of these advanced technologies aims to support future colonization efforts on Mars. The confirmation of this payload aligns with Musk's vision of establishing a sustainable human presence on the Red Planet.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
2026 • 25%
2029 • 25%
2031 • 25%
Later than 2031 • 25%
Less than 6 months • 25%
6 to 9 months • 25%
9 to 12 months • 25%
More than 12 months • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Mission delayed • 25%
Successful landing • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
