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Impact on Ukraine's military strategy post-attack by Mar 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased frequency of airstrikes on Russian targets • 25%
Focus on defensive operations within Ukraine • 25%
Increased reliance on drone warfare • 25%
No significant change in operations • 25%
Reports from the Ukrainian Armed Forces or credible international news agencies
Story
Ukraine's Air Force Strikes Kamensk-Shakhtinsky Facility Producing Solid Rocket Fuel on Dec. 26
Dec 26, 2024, 09:23 AM
On Dec. 26, Ukraine's Air Force conducted a precision strike on a military-industrial facility in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, located in Russia's Rostov region. The facility was producing solid rocket fuel for ballistic missiles, which have been used by Russia to target critical and civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. The attack was confirmed by the Strategic Communications Directorate of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (StratCom) on the same day. This strike is part of Ukraine's broader campaign to disrupt Russia's military supply chain and hinder its ability to launch attacks on Ukrainian cities.
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Increased Offensive • 25%
Defensive Posture • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased defensive measures • 25%
Increased offensive operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased offensive operations • 33%
Increased defensive operations • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Increase in offensive actions • 25%
Shift to defensive strategy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased offensive operations • 25%
Focus on defensive strategies • 25%
Seek diplomatic solutions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased defense spending • 25%
Request for international aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Defense of current territories • 25%
Offensive operations to regain lost territories • 25%
Strengthening alliances and seeking international aid • 25%
Diplomatic efforts for ceasefire • 25%
Increase in air defenses • 25%
Request for international military aid • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased long-range strikes • 25%
Focus on defensive operations • 25%
Shift to cyber warfare • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved air defense systems • 25%
International military support • 25%
Cyber defense measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Significant degradation • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine acquires nuclear weapons • 25%
Ukraine remains non-nuclear and outside NATO • 25%
Other significant defense strategy • 25%