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Impact on Clarence Thomas's professional standing by end of 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment initiated • 25%
Censured by the Senate • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Resigns voluntarily • 25%
Analysis in major legal journals or major news outlets
Story
Clarence Thomas Faces Scrutiny Over $267,000 Loan for Luxury RV, Tax Implications
May 16, 2024, 04:03 PM
Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas is facing scrutiny over a $267,000 loan from a wealthy friend used to purchase a luxury RV. Senators Ron Wyden and Sheldon Whitehouse are demanding details on whether the loan was repaid or forgiven, which would have tax implications if it was not reported as taxable income. Thomas has not clarified the status of the loan, leading to concerns about potential violations of tax laws and questions about judicial accountability. Thomas's evasive responses and declarations of outrage regarding questions about his financial affairs further fuel the controversy.
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Similar markets
Resigns • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Continues in position • 25%
Retires voluntarily • 25%
No impact • 33%
Resignation • 33%
Impeachment proceedings • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Reprimand issued • 33%
Forced resignation or impeachment • 33%
Resigns • 33%
Remains in position • 33%
Impeached • 34%
No action • 33%
Formal reprimand • 33%
Recommendation for resignation or impeachment • 33%
Amy Coney Barrett • 25%
Brett Kavanaugh • 25%
Neil Gorsuch • 25%
Other candidate • 25%