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IDF's next strategic move in southern Lebanon by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased airstrikes • 25%
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Official announcements by the IDF or Israeli government, credible news outlets
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IDF Officer Ben Zion Falach, 21, from Nitzanei Oz Killed in Southern Lebanon Combat
Oct 3, 2024, 05:27 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced the death of Captain Ben Zion Falach, a 21-year-old officer from Nitzanei Oz, who was killed during combat in southern Lebanon. Falach served in the 202nd Battalion of the Paratroopers Brigade. His death occurred on Wednesday during fighting against Hezbollah forces. The IDF's announcement on Thursday highlighted Falach's role and the circumstances of his death. His passing brings the IDF's toll in the ground offensive to nine.
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Beirut • 25%
Southern Lebanon • 25%
Bekaa Valley • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Major Hezbollah leaders captured or killed • 25%
Increased regional tensions • 25%
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Air strikes • 25%
Ground operations • 25%
Cyber operations • 25%
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Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah launches successful retaliation • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Beirut • 25%
Southern Lebanon • 25%
Northern Lebanon • 25%
No specific focus • 25%
Rocket launch sites • 25%
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Ceasefire • 25%
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Withdrawal • 25%
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Hezbollah leadership targeting • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah maintains current strength • 25%
IDF withdraws without major impact • 25%
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