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How will X respond to Brazil's Supreme Court ruling by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complies with ruling • 25%
Appeals ruling • 25%
Circumvents ruling • 25%
Withdraws from Brazil • 25%
Official statements from X and major news outlets
Story
Brazil's Supreme Court Bans X, Imposes $900,000 Daily Fines After Cloudflare Software Update
Sep 18, 2024, 11:33 PM
Brazil's Supreme Court banned the social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter, citing concerns about misinformation and its potential influence on the electorate. Despite the ban, which affected 22 million users, many Brazilian users regained access to X after the platform implemented a software update that utilized Cloudflare's services to dynamically change IP addresses, making it difficult for the ban to be enforced. The Brazilian government responded by imposing fines of up to $900,000 per day on X and Starlink for non-compliance, and seized $3.3 million from their bank accounts. The White House condemned Brazil's actions as an attack on free speech, and several U.S. politicians urged the State Department to take action. X has since gone offline again following a court order, and the platform has appointed legal representatives to address the matter in Brazil. Users who attempted to access X using VPNs risked fines of up to 50,000 reais per day. The ban lasted for 18 days before the platform temporarily regained access.
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Remove certain accounts • 25%
Pay fines • 25%
Provide additional documentation • 25%
All of the above • 25%
Comply with court orders • 25%
Withdraw from Brazil • 25%
Negotiate with Brazilian authorities • 25%
Other • 25%
X is fully unbanned • 25%
X is partially unbanned • 25%
X remains banned • 25%
X faces additional penalties • 25%
X fully complies and resumes operations • 25%
X partially complies and faces further restrictions • 25%
X does not comply and remains banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Comply with the ruling • 33%
Appeal the ruling • 33%
Ignore the ruling • 34%
X complies and pays fines • 25%
X wins the legal battle • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
X complies fully • 25%
X partially complies • 25%
X does not comply • 25%
Other • 25%
Comply with regulations • 25%
Challenge legally • 25%
Circumvent again • 25%
Other • 25%
Reinstate the ban • 25%
Issue new fines • 25%
Take no action • 25%
Other • 25%
Fine paid, suspension lifted • 25%
Fine not paid, suspension remains • 25%
Fine paid, suspension remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban X in Brazil • 25%
Do not ban X in Brazil • 25%
Postpone decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Lift suspension • 25%
Maintain suspension • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
Other action • 25%