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Market
How will the public perceive the assassination attempt on Donald Trump by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Heroic act by the Secret Service • 25%
Failure of security measures • 25%
Political conspiracy • 25%
Divine Intervention • 25%
Public opinion polls and surveys
Story
Secret Service Sniper's 'One-in-a-Million' Headshot Saves Trump from Assassination Attempt
Jul 20, 2024, 01:00 PM
Former President Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt thanks to the swift action of a Secret Service sniper. The incident occurred during a Republican National Committee event, where a would-be assassin was neutralized by a single bullet from the sniper. The attack, which took place a week ago, has raised numerous questions among the American public, with no government officials being fired or resigning in its aftermath. The event has been linked to the polarized political climate, with commentators suggesting that the rhetoric against Trump had been building up to such an attack. The sniper's shot, described as a 'one-in-a-million' headshot from 147 yards away, has been widely praised. Some have attributed Trump's survival to Divine Intervention.
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Increased support for Trump • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased polarization • 25%
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Partially believed • 25%
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Completely disbelieved • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
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Conspiracy theories increase • 25%
Conspiracy theories decrease • 25%
Conspiracy theories remain the same • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased public support for Trump • 25%
Increased public condemnation of violence • 25%
No significant change in public opinion • 25%
Increased public unrest and protests • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased security measures for political figures • 25%
New legislation on political violence • 25%
No significant political changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump announces withdrawal from political activities • 25%
Trump continues his political activities without significant change • 25%
Trump announces a new political campaign • 25%
Trump takes a temporary break from politics • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Widespread support for FBI's conclusions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread skepticism • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Increase in security measures • 25%
Decrease in public appearances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%