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Market
How will the prisoner swap deal be viewed in public discourse by the end of 2024?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Viewed as a Success • 25%
Viewed as a Failure • 25%
Viewed as a Compromise • 25%
Mixed Views • 25%
Analysis from reputable news sources and public opinion polls
Story
Trump in ATL Congratulates Putin on 'Great Deal' in Prisoner Swap, Criticizes 'Horrible Deals'
Aug 3, 2024, 10:18 PM
During a speech in Atlanta, presidential candidate Donald Trump congratulated Russian President Vladimir Putin for making a 'great deal' in the recent prisoner swap involving Evan Gershkovich and Paul Whelan. Trump acknowledged that while the U.S. got its people back, he criticized the terms of the deal as 'horrible, horrible deals.' This statement was made during an event in ATL, as reported by CBSNews.
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Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian reasons • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Switzerland • 25%
Qatar • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian reasons • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Encourages more hostage-taking • 25%
Weakens US negotiating power • 25%
Favors Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
All proposed prisoners released • 25%
Some proposed prisoners released • 25%
No prisoners released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian prisoner • 25%
American prisoner • 25%
German prisoner • 25%
Other • 25%