Loading...
Market
How will the Middle East conflict impact Kamala Harris's polling numbers by Election Day 2024?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved • 25%
Declined • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Aggregate poll data from sources like FiveThirtyEight or RealClearPolitics
Story
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Tied in Pennsylvania as 2024 Election Nears
Oct 3, 2024, 12:14 PM
In the final weeks leading up to the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are locked in a tight race. Recent polls indicate that Harris and Trump are tied in Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state. Harris, who has positioned herself as a candidate of the future, faces numerous challenges including a potential wider conflict in the Middle East, an ongoing longshoremen’s strike threatening the economy, and recovery efforts from a deadly hurricane affecting the Southeast. Despite these crises, Harris maintains a lead in some polls, although her lead has been cut in nearly every battleground state, according to the New York Times.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
No Significant Change (+/- 5%) • 25%
Not Measurable • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
Remain within 5% of current levels • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Significant increase in support • 25%
Moderate increase in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 5% or less • 25%
Decrease by 5% or less • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 5% or less • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%