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Market
How will the Mexican government respond to U.S. deportations by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for returnees • 25%
Diplomatic actions against U.S. • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Official communications from the Mexican government or credible news reports
Story
Trump's Mass Deportation Plan Includes Military, 5 Executive Orders
Nov 24, 2024, 02:23 PM
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has outlined a plan to support Mexicans living in the U.S. in the event of mass deportations promised by President-elect Donald Trump. Trump has confirmed his intention to use the military to carry out what he has described as the largest mass deportation in American history, a move that includes issuing 5 executive orders on his first day in office, expanding detention centers, and declaring a national emergency. A CBS News poll indicates that 57% of Americans approve of Trump's plan to deport all illegal immigrants, while some Republican lawmakers suggest focusing only on deporting criminal fugitives. Trump's pledge has led to preparations by civil groups in the U.S. to counter the policy, and Mexican migrant shelters are bracing for an influx of returnees. The issue has also placed sanctuary cities in a challenging position as public opinion leans towards supporting mass deportations.
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Implement 'Plan B' • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased support for deported nationals • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Strengthened consular support • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
Negotiated agreement with the US • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Response • 25%
Reduction in deportations • 25%
Increased consular support • 25%
Bilateral agreements on migration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mass deportations implemented • 25%
Increased deportations but not mass • 25%
No significant change in deportation policy • 25%
Policy change towards leniency • 25%
Protests and demonstrations • 25%
Support for government actions • 25%
Increased migration to other countries • 25%
Little to no reaction • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Economic contributions of migrants • 25%
Security and border control • 25%
Humanitarian and family reunification • 25%
Legal status and rights of migrants • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Response • 25%