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Market
How will states respond to federal execution policies by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
States increase death penalty use • 25%
States decrease death penalty use • 25%
States maintain current policies • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
State government announcements or legislative records
Story
President-elect Trump Pledges Death Penalty for Violent Offenders After Biden Commutes Sentences of 37 Killers
Dec 24, 2024, 10:50 PM
President-elect Donald Trump criticized President Joe Biden's decision to commute the death sentences of 37 federal death row inmates, whom he referred to as '37 of the worst killers in our Country.' Vowing to reinstate federal executions once he takes office in January, Trump pledged to direct the Department of Justice to 'vigorously pursue the death penalty' to protect American families and children from violent rapists, murderers, and monsters. He stated that 'anyone caught trafficking minors will get the death penalty immediately' and declared, 'We will be a Nation of Law and Order again!' Biden had commuted the sentences of nearly all federal death row inmates, changing their sentences to life imprisonment without parole.
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Similar markets
Increase in state-level executions • 25%
Decrease in state-level executions • 25%
No change in state-level executions • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
More states abolish death penalty • 25%
More states reinforce death penalty • 25%
No significant state-level changes • 25%
Mixed state-level changes • 25%
California • 25%
New York • 25%
Texas • 25%
Other • 25%
Widespread international criticism • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
Minimal international reaction • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Federal Executions Halted • 25%
Federal Executions Proceed • 25%
Ongoing Legal Battle • 25%
No Legal Challenge • 25%
Executions resumed • 25%
Executions paused • 25%
Death penalty abolished • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Dzhokhar Tsarnaev • 25%
Dylann Roof • 25%
Robert Bowers • 25%
None Executed • 25%
