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How will Musk's influence affect social media policies on misinformation by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter policies implemented • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
Policies become more lenient • 25%
Other significant policy change • 25%
Official announcements from X and other major social media platforms
Story
Elon Musk, Most-Followed on X, Amplifies Election Misinformation with AI-Powered Trends, Boosting Trump's Campaign
Oct 27, 2024, 01:13 PM
Elon Musk, the most-followed user on X (formerly Twitter), is reportedly using his platform to amplify election misinformation and conspiracy theories ahead of the upcoming US presidential election. In three instances last month, Musk's posts spreading unfounded claims about voter fraud were viewed over 200 times more than official fact-checking posts correcting those claims. His posts have gathered 1.2 billion impressions over three days, effectively providing millions in advertising value. Additionally, X's AI-powered trending topics are boosting these conspiracy theories, further magnifying their impact. Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker has criticized Musk as a "megalomaniac, election-denying, MAGA extremist" who is trying to buy the election for Donald Trump. Observers suggest that Musk hopes a Trump victory will help his $44 billion investment in X pay off.
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Similar markets
Increased significantly • 25%
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Addresses misinformation directly • 25%
Criticizes media without specifics • 25%
No further comments • 25%
Other • 25%
Platforms remain neutral • 25%
Platforms actively support Musk's actions • 25%
Platforms take actions against Musk's campaigns • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant increase in user base • 25%
Slight increase in user base • 25%
No significant change in user base • 25%
Decrease in user base • 25%
Successful regulation • 25%
Regulation blocked • 25%
Regulation delayed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Complies with policies • 25%
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Negotiates compromise • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in Tesla stock value • 25%
Increase in SpaceX contracts • 25%
Decrease in Tesla stock value • 25%
No significant business impact • 25%