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Market
How will lower courts interpret the Supreme Court decision on mifepristone by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld as is • 33%
Partially overturned • 33%
Fully overturned • 33%
Official court rulings and publications
Story
Trump Will Not Block Access to Abortion Pills, Agrees with Supreme Court Decision on Mifepristone
Jun 28, 2024, 01:29 AM
During the first presidential debate of 2024, former President Donald Trump stated that he would not block access to abortion pills if re-elected. Trump expressed his agreement with a recent Supreme Court decision that preserved access to the abortion pill mifepristone, although the court's decision was based on a technicality and the case was sent back to lower courts. He also mentioned his belief in exceptions for abortion in cases of rape, incest, and when the mother's life is at risk. Trump emphasized the complexity of the abortion issue and suggested that it should be decided by individual states. He acknowledged that some people may not agree with his stance on exceptions but reiterated the need to follow one's heart while also considering the political necessity of getting elected.
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Uphold the 18-week limit • 25%
Implement near-total ban • 25%
Extend abortion rights • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority uphold federal withholding • 25%
Majority oppose federal withholding • 25%
Split decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal requirements upheld • 25%
Federal requirements overturned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Allow • 33%
Disallow • 33%
No decision • 33%
Overturns bans • 33%
Upholds bans • 33%
Mixed decisions • 34%
6-3 • 33%
5-4 • 33%
Other • 33%