Loading...
Market
How will legal actions by Biden administration perceived as politically motivated change in 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in legal actions • 33%
Decrease in legal actions • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Analysis by legal experts and reports by major news outlets
Story
Trump to Pardon J6ers on Day One, Citing Biden Precedent
Dec 2, 2024, 02:39 AM
Former President Donald Trump is reportedly planning to issue a mass pardon for individuals involved in the January 6th Capitol riot, known as 'J6ers', on his first day back in office. This move is seen as a response to what supporters describe as politically motivated prosecutions by the Biden administration, including actions by Attorney General Merrick Garland and FBI Director Christopher Wray. The suggestion for mass pardons has been echoed by various supporters and political commentators, with some advocating for the inclusion of pro-life activists and others targeted by what they perceive as politically motivated legal actions. The discussion around these potential pardons has been fueled by recent actions from the Biden administration, which some interpret as setting a precedent for such pardons, particularly for non-violent J6ers.
View original story
Similar markets
Pardon Trump • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
New legal reforms introduced • 25%
Major impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Uncertain impact • 25%
Mixed Outcomes • 25%
Majority Upheld • 25%
No Major Challenges • 25%
Majority Overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ruling against Biden administration • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Trump administration wins • 25%
California wins • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Civil Rights • 25%
Abortion Access • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Climate Change • 25%
Polarized • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Republican Support Increases • 25%
Democratic Opposition Increases • 25%
Bipartisan Agreement • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Court ruling against administration • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Lawsuit filed but no resolution • 25%