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How will Hamas' demands change in negotiations by December 31?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in demands • 33%
Decrease in demands • 33%
No change in demands • 34%
Official statements from Hamas or Israeli government, verified news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hamas Rejects Biden's Ceasefire and Hostage Release Proposal
Jun 11, 2024, 08:18 PM
An Israeli official has confirmed that Hamas has rejected a proposal for a ceasefire and hostage release, which was presented by U.S. President Joe Biden. The proposal, which was highlighted in Biden's speech, was intended to secure the release of hostages held by Hamas. According to reports from Axios, Israel received Hamas' response through mediators. Additionally, Hamas has changed the main parameters of the proposal.
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Similar markets
Successful truce • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Negotiations fail • 25%
Increase in hostilities • 25%
Negotiations successful • 33%
Negotiations fail • 33%
No negotiations • 34%
New ceasefire agreement • 33%
Prisoner exchange deal • 33%
No significant agreement • 33%
Tighter security measures • 25%
Negotiations with Hamas • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Negotiated release with concessions • 25%
Military operation rescue • 25%
Hostages held beyond 2024 • 25%
Other diplomatic interventions • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 33%
Prisoner Exchange • 33%
No Significant Developments • 33%
