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How will EU's LNG import sources change by end of 2025 due to Qatar's threat?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in US LNG imports • 25%
Increase in Russian LNG imports • 25%
Increase in African LNG imports • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Energy import data from the EU or reports from major energy analytics firms
Story
Qatar's Saad al-Kaabi Threatens to Halt LNG Shipments to EU Over New Law on Forced Labor
Dec 22, 2024, 09:23 AM
Qatar's Energy Minister Saad al-Kaabi announced that the country will halt gas shipments to the European Union if member states enforce a new corporate due diligence law that imposes penalties for failing to meet standards on carbon emissions and labor rights. Al-Kaabi emphasized that Qatar is serious about this threat, stating that the country will not tolerate hefty fines under the directive aimed at improving corporate sustainability. The warning comes amid concerns over the EU's reliance on Qatari liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies, particularly as Europe prepares for potential energy shortages due to reduced Russian gas supplies starting in 2025.
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Minor increase (<10%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Moderate increase (10-20%) • 25%
Significant increase (>20%) • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other countries • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Norway • 25%
U.S. LNG exporters • 25%
Russia • 25%
Algeria • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Coal • 25%
Other • 25%
LNG imports • 25%
Increased renewable energy • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by less than 20% • 25%
Increase by over 20% • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
United States • 25%
Norway • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Primarily alternative sources • 25%
Other • 25%
Diversified sources • 25%
Primarily Russia • 25%
