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How will EU-Georgia relations change by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly worsened • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Improved relations • 33%
EU and Georgian government statements, analysis from international relations experts
Story
Georgian PM Accuses EU's Olivér Várhelyi of Veiled Threat Over Law
May 24, 2024, 01:41 AM
Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili has accused European Commissioner for Neighbourhood and Enlargement, Olivér Várhelyi, of making a veiled threat during a conversation. Garibashvili claims Várhelyi referenced an assassination attempt on the Slovak Prime Minister to dissuade him from passing a law. Várhelyi has admitted to making the comments but insists they were taken out of context. The incident has sparked controversy, with some interpreting Várhelyi's remarks as a direct threat. Georgian PM Kobakhidze highlighted the importance of a rules-based international order in this context.
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Formal condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Negotiations with Georgian government • 25%
No action • 25%
EU sanctions • 33%
US sanctions • 33%
No international sanctions • 34%
Severely damaged relations with EU • 33%
Minor impact on relations with EU • 33%
Improved relations with Russia • 33%
Significantly Delayed • 25%
Moderately Affected • 25%
Minimally Affected • 25%
Unaffected • 25%
Broad support for protesters • 25%
Support for the Georgian government • 25%
Neutral or no significant response • 25%
Mediated negotiations • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 50%
Strengthened ties with the EU and US • 50%
Full withdrawal of the law • 33%
Amendment of the law • 33%
No change to the law • 33%
No significant change in reactions • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Reduction of diplomatic ties • 25%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%