Loading...
Market
How will DOJ's independence change by end of 2025 under Trump's plan?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly reduced independence • 25%
Moderately reduced independence • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased independence • 25%
Reports from legal watchdogs or credible news outlets covering changes in DOJ policies or leadership
Story
Trump Proposes Mass Deportation of 15 Million Undocumented Immigrants, Military Force and National Guard Deployment Included
Nov 6, 2024, 01:48 PM
Former President Donald Trump is advancing a controversial plan to deport up to 15 million undocumented immigrants as part of his strategy for a potential second term. This plan includes the deployment of National Guard forces in American cities to facilitate mass deportations. Critics argue that such measures could significantly impact the U.S. economy and raise concerns about the use of military force against civilians. Trump has also stated intentions to dismiss thousands of career public servants and undermine the independence of the Department of Justice. The implications of this plan are being analyzed in terms of both human and economic consequences, as highlighted by various commentators and reports.
View original story
Similar markets
Complete overhaul • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Leadership changes • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Both leadership and policy changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Major disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No disruption • 25%
Other • 25%
Firing of DOJ officials • 25%
New investigative teams formed • 25%
Policy changes announced • 25%
No major action taken • 25%
Yes, new policies introduced • 25%
No, no new policies introduced • 25%
Existing policies strengthened • 25%
No changes to policies • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Criminal Justice • 25%
Antitrust • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigations expedited • 25%
Investigations delayed • 25%
No impact • 25%
Investigations dropped • 25%
Increased independence • 25%
Decreased independence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Increased oversight • 25%
Decreased oversight • 25%
No change in oversight • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Criminal Justice Reform • 25%
Immigration Enforcement • 25%
Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved standing • 25%
Worsened standing • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized standing • 25%