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How will black women voters respond to Harris' nomination strategy by July 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support from black women • 25%
Decreased support from black women • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Polls and surveys conducted by reputable polling organizations
Story
Kamala Harris Campaign Avoided Open Primary in 107 Days to Appease Black Women
Dec 7, 2024, 01:57 PM
Quentin Fulks, campaign manager for Kamala Harris, stated that the Democratic Party decided not to hold an open primary to avoid upsetting its key voter base, black women. Fulks explained that opening the primary could have caused significant dissatisfaction among black women if Harris was not the nominee. He noted that the campaign had 107 days to prepare. Reports also indicate that black staffers within the Harris campaign in Philadelphia grew frustrated with the lack of outreach to the Democratic Party's base voters. In response, they reportedly established a secret field office at a Dunkin' Donuts as part of independent efforts to address these concerns.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Elizabeth Warren • 25%
Pete Buttigieg • 25%
Other • 25%
Cory Booker • 25%
Improved perception • 25%
Worsened perception • 25%
Mixed or other outcomes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Run for President in 2028 • 25%
Run for California Governor • 25%
No major announcement • 25%
Pursue other political roles • 25%
Progressive • 25%
Conservative Democrat • 25%
Other • 25%
Moderate • 25%
Run for California Governor • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both • 25%
Prepare for 2028 Presidential Run • 25%
Run for U.S. President in 2028 • 25%
Run for California Governor in 2026 • 25%
Run for another political office • 25%
Not run for any office • 25%
Mixed Endorsements • 34%
Yes - Majority Endorse • 33%
No - Majority Do Not Endorse • 33%
Other political role • 25%
U.S. President • 25%
Not holding any political office • 25%
Governor of California • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No impact • 25%