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How will Bitcoin perform compared to major stock indices by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 • 25%
Bitcoin outperforms NASDAQ • 25%
Bitcoin underperforms both • 25%
Bitcoin outperforms both • 25%
Publicly available data on Bitcoin's performance and major stock indices like S&P 500, NASDAQ
Story
BlackRock Invests $750M and $400M in Bitcoin Following Grayscale Sale
Dec 10, 2024, 12:40 AM
BlackRock has made a significant investment in Bitcoin, purchasing $750 million worth of the cryptocurrency. This move follows Grayscale's sale of $150 million in Bitcoin, with BlackRock stepping in to acquire five times that amount. Bitcoin briefly dipped below $100,000, but BlackRock's acquisition reflects confidence in the asset despite market fluctuations. Additionally, reports suggest BlackRock also purchased $400 million worth of Bitcoin on a separate occasion, further solidifying its position in the cryptocurrency market.
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Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 • 25%
S&P 500 outperforms Bitcoin • 25%
Both have similar performance • 25%
Neither shows significant change • 25%
Outperforms S&P 500 • 25%
Outperforms NASDAQ • 25%
Outperforms both S&P 500 and NASDAQ • 25%
Underperforms both S&P 500 and NASDAQ • 25%
Outperforms both • 25%
Outperforms S&P 500 only • 25%
Outperforms gold only • 25%
Underperforms both • 25%
Outperforms Bitcoin • 25%
Outperforms Ethereum • 25%
Outperforms both • 25%
Outperforms neither • 25%
Outperform S&P 500 • 25%
Underperform S&P 500 • 25%
Match S&P 500 • 25%
Other • 25%
Under $100,000 • 25%
$100,000 - $400,000 • 25%
$400,001 - $800,000 • 25%
Over $800,000 • 25%
High correlation with stocks • 25%
High correlation with bonds • 25%
Low correlation with both • 25%
No significant correlation • 25%
$65,000 • 33%
$70,000 • 33%
$75,000 • 34%
Below $60,000 • 25%
$60,000 - $70,000 • 25%
$70,001 - $80,000 • 25%
Above $80,000 • 25%
Above $110,000 • 25%
Between $98,000 and $110,000 • 25%
Between $70,000 and $98,000 • 25%
Below $70,000 • 25%
Below $2 trillion • 25%
$2 trillion to $5 trillion • 25%
$5 trillion to $10 trillion • 25%
Above $10 trillion • 25%
Outperforms Bitcoin • 25%
Performs similarly to Bitcoin • 25%
Underperforms Bitcoin • 25%
Significantly underperforms Bitcoin • 25%