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How many Republican senators will oppose Tulsi Gabbard's nomination by March 31, 2025?
3
Tulsi Gabbard•Donald Trump•National Intelligence•Republican•Syrian•Ukraine•Russia•Trump•Senate•Gabbard•Chuck Grassley•Assad•Democratic
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fewer than 5 • 25%
5 to 7 • 25%
8 to 10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Less than 8 • 25%
Exactly 8 • 25%
More than 8 • 25%
No opposition • 25%
Official statements from Republican senators or major news outlets
Story
Eight GOP Senators Oppose Tulsi Gabbard's Nomination for Intelligence Chief Amid Assad Meeting Scrutiny
Dec 17, 2024, 11:38 PM
Former congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, nominated by President-elect Donald Trump as Director of National Intelligence, is facing opposition from eight Republican senators. These senators have expressed doubts about her readiness for the role, citing her lack of experience with intelligence agencies, her past meeting with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, and her positions on issues such as opposing U.S. military support for Ukraine and making statements perceived as aligned with Russia. The Trump transition team has voiced concerns over her ability to secure the necessary votes for Senate confirmation. Gabbard has been meeting with lawmakers, including Senator Chuck Grassley, in an effort to address these concerns and build bipartisan support. Her past meetings with Assad have drawn renewed scrutiny following the collapse of the Russia-allied Assad regime. If Republican opposition persists, she would require support from Democratic senators, which sources suggest may be difficult to obtain.
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Similar markets
More than 16 • 25%
13 to 16 • 25%
9 to 12 • 25%
8 or fewer • 25%
5-8 • 25%
13 or more • 25%
0-4 • 25%
9-12 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements perceived as aligned with Russia • 25%
Lack of intelligence experience • 25%
Past meetings with Bashar al-Assad • 25%
Stance on U.S. military involvement • 25%
Policy disagreements • 25%
Party affiliation concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Past meetings with Bashar al-Assad • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Majority Supportive • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
No Significant Commentary • 25%
Majority Opposed • 25%
50 to 60 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
More than 70 • 25%
61 to 70 • 25%
Majority endorse • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
No significant statements • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%