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How many people will participate in anti-Maduro protests in Venezuela by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
More than 100,000 • 25%
Verified reports from major news outlets and human rights organizations
Story
Venezuela's Maduro Intensifies Crackdown After Contested Election: 20 Killed, 2,000 Arrested
Aug 4, 2024, 04:03 PM
Police in Venezuela are intensifying their crackdown on dissent following a contested presidential election. The regime, led by Nicolas Maduro, is setting up roadblocks and demanding phones to search for protest-related content, arresting those found with such material. Reports indicate that at least 20 people have been killed in various incidents. The crackdown includes kidnapping people from their homes, creating re-education camps for political prisoners, and arresting around 2,000 individuals. An online system has been established for communists to report their neighbors to the police. Maduro's actions are seen as an effort to silence and neutralize opposition as he fights to remain in power.
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Similar markets
Less than 2,500 • 25%
2,500 to 3,000 • 25%
3,000 to 3,500 • 25%
More than 3,500 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Maduro steps down • 25%
State of emergency declared • 25%
Protests subside without major change • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 - 50,000 • 25%
50,001 - 100,000 • 25%
More than 100,000 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Widespread and sustained • 25%
Moderate and temporary • 25%
Minimal • 25%
None • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro steps down • 25%
New elections are called • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests subside without major incidents • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Protests lead to significant political change • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests dissipate without significant impact • 25%
Protests lead to minor government concessions • 25%
Protests lead to major government concessions • 25%
Protests lead to a change in government • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Significant policy changes • 25%
Change in leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Protests lead to new elections • 25%
Protests lead to government crackdown • 25%
Protests lead to Maduro stepping down • 25%
Protests subside without significant change • 25%