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How many of Trump's cabinet nominees will be opposed by Senate Republicans by June 30, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1-2 nominees • 25%
3-5 nominees • 25%
More than 5 nominees • 25%
Official Senate voting records and announcements
Story
Senator Tom Cotton Predicts GOP Will Confirm All of Trump's Cabinet Nominees, Following No Opposition to Lloyd Austin
Dec 9, 2024, 03:03 PM
Senator Tom Cotton has expressed confidence that the Republican-controlled Senate will confirm all of President Trump's cabinet nominees. This statement comes amid discussions regarding the Senate's past confirmations, where no Senate Democrats opposed President Biden's initial cabinet nominees. Cotton emphasized that historically, only two out of 72 cabinet nominees from a president-elect's party faced opposition from their own party in the last 32 years. The comments reflect a broader expectation within the GOP that party unity will prevail in supporting Trump's selections, as evidenced by the recent confirmations of Biden's nominees, including Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, which saw significant Republican support. Cotton's remarks suggest a strong alignment among Republican senators regarding Trump's upcoming nominations, urging them to adhere to party lines.
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Similar markets
Less than 5 • 25%
5 to 10 • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
All confirmed • 25%
Most confirmed • 25%
Few confirmed • 25%
None confirmed • 25%
0-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
6-8 • 25%
9 or more • 25%
All nominees • 25%
Most nominees • 25%
Few nominees • 25%
None • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Neutral • 25%
0-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
16 or more • 25%
None • 25%
1 to 2 • 25%
3 to 4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Kash Patel • 25%
Tulsi Gabbard • 25%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Secretary of State nominee • 25%
Secretary of Defense nominee • 25%
Treasury Secretary nominee • 25%
Other • 25%