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How many NATO countries will meet 2% GDP defense spending target by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 14 • 25%
15 to 19 • 25%
20 or more • 25%
NATO defense spending reports or official announcements
Story
Trump Urges NATO to More Than Double Defense Spending to 5% of GDP from Current 2% Target
Jan 7, 2025, 05:06 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has called for NATO member countries to increase their defense spending to 5% of their GDP, more than doubling the current target of 2%. Trump emphasized that all NATO countries can afford this increase, stating, 'They can all afford it, but they should be at five percent not two percent.' This proposal comes as NATO continues to push for member nations to meet the existing 2% target, with some countries, like the UK, currently aiming for a 2.5% increase under Keir Starmer's plan. The UK's current defense spending would need to rise by an additional £53 billion to meet Trump's proposed 5% target, a challenge for Rachel Reeves to address. Trump's comments signal a significant escalation in expectations for NATO's defense contributions.
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Similar markets
Less than 25 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
25-27 • 25%
28-30 • 25%
20 to 25 • 25%
26 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
0-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
11-15 countries • 25%
More than 15 countries • 25%
Less than 15 • 25%
15 to 20 • 25%
More than 25 • 25%
21 to 25 • 25%
11-15 countries • 25%
16+ countries • 25%
0-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
