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How many Iranian operatives will be confirmed captured in the Masyaf raid by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
2 • 25%
3 • 25%
4 • 25%
More than 4 • 25%
Official statements from Israeli or Iranian government or credible news reports
Story
Israeli Special Forces Raid Iranian Missile Facility in Masyaf, Syria on Sunday Night
Sep 12, 2024, 03:17 PM
Israeli special forces conducted a significant raid in Masyaf, Syria, on Sunday night, targeting an Iranian missile facility. Reports indicate that the operation included air-dropped ground troops who destroyed the facility and captured two to four Iranian operatives. The Israeli Air Force provided cover during the mission, which also involved seizing equipment, planting explosives, and clashes. The facility, reportedly linked to the IRGC and under surveillance for about five years, was deemed too fortified to be destroyed from the air alone. Israeli officials have refrained from commenting on the operation. Some reports also suggest the site was a chemical-weapons facility.
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2 • 25%
3 • 25%
4 • 25%
Other • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Released • 25%
Exchanged in a prisoner swap • 25%
Detained indefinitely • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
3 (current number) • 25%
4-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Confirmed and retaliated • 25%
Confirmed without retaliation • 25%
Denied • 25%
No official comment • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%