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How many further cyberattacks on Iranian banks will occur by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No further attacks • 25%
1-2 further attacks • 25%
3-4 further attacks • 25%
5 or more further attacks • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian government or major news outlets like Reuters or BBC
Story
Major Cyberattack by Israeli Hacker Group Disrupts Iran's Central Bank and Others
Aug 14, 2024, 02:00 PM
A major cyberattack has targeted the Central Bank of Iran and several other banks, causing widespread disruptions in the country's banking system. Reports suggest this could be one of the largest cyberattacks in Iran's history. The attack has paralyzed the computer systems of these banks, making it difficult for people to withdraw money. Initial assessments indicate that the attack may have originated from an Israeli hacker group, with some reports attributing it to agents called Natan Kod and Mik Oded. The Iranian opposition channel 'Iran International' has been a primary source of information on this incident. The cyberattack occurred on Wednesday.
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No significant data accessed • 25%
Limited data accessed • 25%
Moderate data accessed • 25%
Extensive data accessed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic actions taken • 25%
Military actions taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Successful mitigation • 25%
Partial mitigation • 25%
Failed mitigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions • 25%
Indictments • 25%
Deportations • 25%
No Action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
