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How many displaced residents will return to northern border communities by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 - 30,000 • 25%
30,001 - 50,000 • 25%
More than 50,000 • 25%
Official reports from the Israeli government, Reuters, Channel 12
Story
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant Announces Imminent Ground Offensive in War Against Hezbollah
Sep 30, 2024, 03:21 PM
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has announced that the next phase in Israel's war against Hezbollah will begin soon. Speaking with mayors of northern border communities, Gallant emphasized that this new stage will be a significant factor in changing the security situation. He noted that the elimination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is an important step but not the final one, and that Israel will employ all its capabilities. Gallant's statements, reported by Channel 12 and Reuters, suggest that a ground offensive in Lebanon is imminent, aimed at improving security and enabling the return of displaced residents to their homes.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All returned home • 25%
Majority returned home • 25%
Minority returned home • 25%
None returned home • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,001 to 30,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
All returned • 25%
Majority returned • 25%
Minority returned • 25%
None returned • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority return home • 25%
Majority remain displaced • 25%
Temporary shelters provided • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Increase in Returns • 25%
Moderate Increase in Returns • 25%
No Change in Return Rates • 25%
Decrease in Return Rates • 25%
All residents return • 25%
Most residents return • 25%
Some residents return • 25%
No residents return • 25%
Return to original residence • 25%
Move to a new residence in Parkside District • 25%
Move to a new residence outside Parkside District • 25%
Remain in temporary housing • 25%