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How many dairy herds in California will be infected with H5N1 by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 700 • 25%
700 to 800 • 25%
801 to 900 • 25%
More than 900 • 25%
California Department of Food and Agriculture reports
Story
Newsom Declares Emergency in California as Bird Flu Infects 600 Dairy Herds and 34 People
Dec 18, 2024, 09:21 PM
California Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency on Wednesday in response to the H5N1 bird flu outbreak in the state. The virus has infected more than 600 dairy herds and 34 people in California, including a child. The emergency declaration aims to streamline and expedite the state's response by providing flexibility around staffing, contracting, and other requirements. "We will continue to take all necessary steps to prevent the spread of this virus," Newsom said.
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Similar markets
3 or fewer • 25%
4 to 6 • 25%
7 to 10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Less than 600 • 25%
600 to 700 • 25%
701 to 800 • 25%
More than 800 • 25%
Less than 25% • 25%
25% to 35% • 25%
35% to 45% • 25%
More than 45% • 25%
Wild birds • 25%
Contaminated feed • 25%
Human interaction • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Minor impact (less than 5% reduction in output) • 25%
Moderate impact (5-10% reduction in output) • 25%
Severe impact (more than 10% reduction in output) • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
None • 25%
1 to 5 • 25%
6 to 10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%