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How many cities will have protests resulting in arrests by October 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-2 cities • 25%
3-5 cities • 25%
6-8 cities • 25%
More than 8 cities • 25%
Reports from local law enforcement agencies and major news outlets
Story
Global Demonstrations Demand Ceasefire on Anniversary of Hamas Attack on Israel and Gaza
Oct 5, 2024, 03:18 PM
As the one-year anniversary of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel approaches, global demonstrations are taking place to commemorate the event and protest the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Thousands of people are expected to march in cities such as London, New York, Paris, Cape Town, Chicago, Dublin, Madrid, and Toronto, demanding a ceasefire and an end to the violence. The attack, which resulted in over 1,200 deaths, has led to a prolonged and devastating war in Gaza, with tens of thousands of casualties and millions displaced. Protests are also calling for international actions such as arms embargoes against Israel and sanctions. Authorities in major cities are preparing for significant demonstrations, with police in London and New York on high alert. Demonstrations are also taking place in solidarity with Lebanon, which has been affected by the conflict as well.
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Similar markets
Over 200 arrested • 33%
100-200 arrested • 33%
Less than 100 arrested • 33%
56-75 • 25%
76-100 • 25%
101-150 • 25%
More than 150 • 25%
Nairobi • 20%
Mombasa • 20%
Kisumu • 20%
Eldoret • 20%
Nakuru • 20%
Nairobi • 25%
Mombasa • 25%
Kisumu • 25%
Eldoret • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
0-100 • 25%
101-500 • 25%
501-1000 • 25%
1001+ • 25%
0-10 arrests • 25%
11-50 arrests • 25%
51-100 arrests • 25%
More than 100 arrests • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
Washington D.C. • 25%
New York City • 25%
Los Angeles • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-4 • 25%
5-9 • 25%
10-14 • 25%
15 or more • 25%
0-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
6-8 • 25%
More than 8 • 25%