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How long will the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire hold without major violations by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 1 week • 25%
1 to 4 weeks • 25%
1 to 3 months • 25%
More than 3 months • 25%
Reports from major news agencies and official statements from involved governments
Story
US Informs Lebanon of Potential Ceasefire with Israel 'Within Hours'
Nov 25, 2024, 03:07 PM
The United States has informed Lebanese officials that a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon could be announced within hours, according to a Lebanese official and a Western diplomat cited by Reuters. The potential announcement follows diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions in the region.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 1 month • 25%
1 to 3 months • 25%
3 to 6 months • 25%
More than 6 months • 25%
