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How effective will antipersonnel land mines be in Ukraine's defense by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly effective • 25%
Moderately effective • 25%
Not effective • 25%
Detrimental • 25%
Reports from military analysts and international defense organizations
Story
Biden Approves Antipersonnel Land Mines for Ukraine, Reversing Policy, Say Two U.S. Officials
Nov 20, 2024, 01:09 AM
President Joe Biden has authorized the provision of antipersonnel land mines to Ukraine, reversing a ban set by the Obama administration and undoing his own policy. This decision aims to bolster Kyiv’s defenses against advancing Russian troops but has drawn criticism from arms control groups. The mines are described as 'nonpersistent,' meaning they self-destruct or lose battery charge to reduce danger to civilians. Ukrainian officials have assured that the mines will not be used in densely populated areas, according to two U.S. officials.
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Significant strategic advantage • 25%
Limited tactical use • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Negative consequences • 25%
Continued support without changes • 25%
Policy reversal due to international pressure • 25%
Policy reversal due to domestic pressure • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Data Unavailable • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine complies and resumes destruction • 25%
Ukraine receives an exemption • 25%
No change in Ukraine's stance • 25%
Other outcome • 25%