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Hamas conducts significant retaliatory attack against Israel by June 30, 2025?
3
Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Shin Bet•Hamas•Nukhba•Sabah•Kibbutz Nir Oz•Western Khan Yunis Battalion•Khan Yunis•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news reports of a significant attack attributed to Hamas
Story
IDF and Shin Bet Eliminate Hamas Nukhba Commander Abd al-Hadi Sabah in Drone Strike Linked to October 7 Kibbutz Nir Oz Attack
Dec 31, 2024, 05:41 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the Shin Bet have confirmed the elimination of Abd al-Hadi Sabah, a commander in Hamas's elite Nukhba force, in a targeted drone strike. Sabah, who led the attack on Kibbutz Nir Oz during the October 7, 2023, massacre, was killed in the Western Khan Yunis Battalion area. He was operating from a shelter in the designated humanitarian area in Khan Yunis, southern Gaza. The IDF and Shin Bet stated that Sabah was responsible for leading the infiltration into Kibbutz Nir Oz and had also directed numerous terrorist attacks against IDF troops throughout the ongoing conflict. The strike was part of a broader operation against terrorists involved in the October 7 massacre.
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Similar markets
Ground infiltration • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Military attack • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
