Loading...
Market
Global economic growth rate in 2025 according to IMF?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Below 3.0% • 25%
3.0% to 3.3% • 25%
3.4% to 3.7% • 25%
Above 3.7% • 25%
IMF's official economic report for 2025
Story
IMF Raises 2025 Global Growth Forecast to 3.3% on Strong US Growth, Projects 3.3% for 2026
Jan 17, 2025, 02:24 PM
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 upward by 0.1 percentage point to 3.3%, from its October 2024 projection. This adjustment is primarily driven by stronger-than-expected growth in the United States, which is now projected to grow at 2.7% in 2025, up from the previous estimate of 2.2%. The IMF also anticipates global growth to remain at 3.3% in 2026. Despite these revisions, global growth remains below the historical average of 3.7% seen between 2000 and 2019. The IMF has noted a widening economic divergence between the United States and other major economies, particularly in Europe. The Euro area's growth forecast for 2025 has been revised downward to 1.0% from 1.2%, reflecting weaker momentum in manufacturing and heightened political and policy uncertainty. China's growth is expected to be 4.6% in 2025, slightly up from the previous forecast, and 4.5% in 2026, while India is projected to grow at 6.5% in both 2025 and 2026. Global inflation is expected to decline to 4.2% in 2025 and 3.5% in 2026.
View original story
Similar markets
5% • 25%
Above 5% • 25%
Below 4.8% • 25%
Between 4.8% and 5% • 25%
Below 2% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
3% to 4% • 25%
Above 4% • 25%
1-3% • 25%
3-5% • 25%
Above 5% • 25%
Below 1% • 25%
Between 1.5% and 2.5% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
Above 3% • 25%
1% to 2% • 25%
Above 4% • 25%
3% to 4% • 25%
Below 2% • 25%
Below 0.5% • 25%
Below 1% • 25%
Between 0.5% and 1.5% • 25%
Above 2.5% • 25%
4% to 5% • 25%
Below 4.5% • 25%
4% to 4.9% • 25%
5% to 5.9% • 25%
6% or above • 25%
5.0% to 5.5% • 25%
Above 5.5% • 25%
4.5% to 5.0% • 25%
Above 6% • 25%
5.1% to 5.5% • 25%
Below 4% • 25%
5% to 6% • 25%
Exactly 4.5% • 25%
4.0% or lower • 25%
Below 4.5% • 25%
Above 4.5% • 25%
0% to 2% • 25%
Negative growth • 25%
Above 5% • 25%
2% to 5% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
Below 1% • 25%
1% to 2% • 25%
Above 3% • 25%
Below 2% • 25%
2% to 2.9% • 25%
3% to 3.9% • 25%
4% or higher • 25%
1.1% to 2% • 25%
0% to 2% • 25%
2% to 4% • 25%
Above 4% • 25%
Negative growth • 25%
0% to 1% • 25%
Above 2% • 25%
2.00% to 3.99% • 25%
Negative • 25%
0% to 1.99% • 25%
4.00% or higher • 25%
2% to 4% • 25%
Above 4% • 25%
0% to 2% • 25%
Negative • 25%