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Market
First successful AI-driven defense tech deployment announcement by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
OpenAI • 33%
Palantir • 33%
Anduril • 33%
None • 1%
Company press releases or official U.S. military announcements
Story
OpenAI, Anduril, and Palantir Partner to Boost U.S. Drone Defense and AI Capabilities
Dec 6, 2024, 10:04 PM
OpenAI has entered into a strategic partnership with Anduril Industries to enhance U.S. military drone defense systems using advanced AI technology, aiming to improve detection and response capabilities against drone threats. Concurrently, Palantir Technologies Inc. has expanded its strategic partnerships with Shield AI and Anduril to advance AI capabilities for national security. These partnerships focus on data readiness, large-scale command and control of autonomous systems, and the integration of AI-driven software for defense applications. The efforts are part of a broader initiative to ensure the U.S. leads in AI technology, particularly in defense, amid concerns about ethical implications of such military partnerships. The collaboration seeks to streamline data, reduce operator burden, and bolster situational awareness for U.S. forces.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Google • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Amazon • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Successful deployment with positive outcomes • 25%
Deployment with mixed outcomes • 25%
Deployment with negative outcomes • 25%
No deployment • 25%
Cybersecurity Initiative • 25%
Autonomous Drone Program • 25%
AI-Enhanced Surveillance System • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone detection • 25%
Real-time decision-making • 25%
Drone tracking • 25%
Other • 25%