Loading...
Market
First organization to publicly refute the study's findings by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
OpenAI • 25%
Google • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the organizations or credible news sources
Story
Study Finds AI Language Models Pose No Existential Threat
Aug 13, 2024, 10:15 AM
A new study conducted by researchers from the University of Bath and Darmstadt University has concluded that large language models (LLMs), such as ChatGPT, do not pose an existential threat. The research highlights that these models cannot independently learn new skills or develop complex reasoning without explicit instructions, making them predictable and controllable. This counters fears that LLMs could develop advanced reasoning abilities. The study suggests that concerns should instead focus on the misuse of AI rather than existential threats.
View original story
Similar markets
WHO • 25%
CDC • 25%
Other • 25%
None • 25%
Axios • 33%
Reuters • 33%
PBS • 33%
World Health Organization (WHO) • 25%
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) • 25%
United Nations (UN) • 25%
Greenpeace • 25%
World Health Organization (WHO) • 25%
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) • 25%
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) • 25%
Other • 25%
WHO issues guidelines • 25%
UNICEF issues guidelines • 25%
Both WHO and UNICEF issue guidelines • 25%
No guidelines issued • 25%
Supported • 25%
Refuted • 25%
Partially supported • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
FDA • 25%
Pfizer • 25%
Public Health Organizations • 25%
No major impact on any organization • 25%
World Health Organization (WHO) • 25%
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) • 25%
National Institutes of Health (NIH) • 25%
Other • 25%
World Health Organization • 25%
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention • 25%
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Royal College of Physicians • 25%
American Medical Association • 25%
World Health Organization • 25%
Other/None • 25%
WHO • 25%
CDC • 25%
ECDC • 25%
Other • 25%