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First execution under new trafficking death penalty by end of 2025?

3

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official records or news reports confirming an execution

Story

Trump Announces Immediate Death Penalty for Trafficking Minors Across Border

Dec 24, 2024, 07:06 PM

President-elect Donald Trump has announced a stringent policy against human trafficking, stating that anyone caught trafficking minors across our border will receive the death penalty immediately. This statement was made in the context of his plans to address crime and border security.

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First death penalty sentence under HB1663 by end of 2024?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will the death penalty be implemented for trafficking minors by end of 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Death penalty awarded to the convicted by Dec 31, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

First Execution Among High-Profile Inmates by End of 2025?

Dzhokhar Tsarnaev • 25%

Dylann Roof • 25%

Robert Bowers • 25%

None by end of 2025 • 25%

First execution under HB1663 by end of 2024

No execution • 50%

Yes, execution occurred • 50%

First execution among remaining federal death row inmates under Trump by end of 2025?

Dzhokhar Tsarnaev • 33%

Robert Bowers • 33%

Dylann Roof • 33%

None executed by end of 2025 • 1%

First Execution of Remaining Federal Death Row Inmates by End of 2025?

Dzhokhar Tsarnaev • 25%

Dylann Roof • 25%

Robert Bowers • 25%

None Executed • 25%

First execution among remaining federal death row inmates under Trump by end 2025?

Dylann Roof • 33%

Robert Bowers • 33%

Dzhokhar Tsarnaev • 33%

None executed by deadline • 1%

Will the suspects receive the death penalty if convicted by end of 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Will legislation extending death penalty to drug traffickers be introduced by September 30, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Re-sentencing of Commuted Inmates to Death Penalty by End of 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Execution of Remaining Federal Death Row Inmates by End of 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

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Death penalty implemented for trafficking minors by end of 2025?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Supreme Court hears case on trafficking death penalty by end of 2025?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Change in US public opinion on trafficking death penalty by end of 2025

Increased support • 25%

Decreased support • 25%

Polarized views • 25%

No significant change • 25%

International response to US trafficking death penalty policy by mid-2025

No official response • 25%

Strong condemnation • 25%

Mild criticism • 25%

Support • 25%