Loading...
Market
Final electoral vote count for Donald Trump in 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
270 to 306 • 25%
307 to 350 • 25%
More than 350 • 25%
Less than 270 • 25%
270 to 299 • 25%
300 to 329 • 25%
330 or more • 25%
Official certification of the 2024 US Presidential Election results by the Electoral College
Story
NYT Projects Donald Trump to Win 2024 US Presidential Election, First Republican to Secure Popular Vote in 20 Years
Nov 6, 2024, 06:04 AM
The New York Times (NYT) projects that Donald Trump is likely to win the 2024 US Presidential Election, with a greater than 95% chance of victory. Trump is projected to secure 306 electoral votes and win the popular vote by 1.2%, making him the first Republican to win the popular vote in 20 years since George W. Bush. Pennsylvania is also reported to be very likely to vote for Trump, with 93% of the votes counted. Reuters also projects Trump as the winner of the US elections.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 270 • 25%
270 to 309 • 25%
310 to 359 • 25%
360 or more • 25%
Trump: 300+ votes • 25%
Trump: 270-299 votes • 25%
Harris: 270+ votes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Less than 270 • 25%
270-299 • 25%
300-329 • 25%
330 or more • 25%
Less than 75 million • 25%
75 million to 80 million • 25%
80 million to 85 million • 25%
More than 85 million • 25%
Less than 270 • 25%
270 to 299 • 25%
300 to 329 • 25%
330 or more • 25%
200-299 • 25%
300-399 • 25%
400 or more • 25%
200-249 • 25%
250-299 • 25%
300 or more • 25%
Less than 200 • 25%
200-250 • 25%
251-300 • 25%
More than 300 • 25%
Less than 270 • 25%
270 to 299 • 25%
300 to 329 • 25%
330 or more • 25%
Donald Trump 270+ • 25%
Kamala Harris 270+ • 25%
Neither reaches 270 • 25%
Other candidate reaches 270 • 25%
Trump 270+ • 25%
Harris 270+ • 25%
Other candidate 270+ • 25%
No candidate 270+ • 25%
Less than 49% • 25%
49% to 50% • 25%
50% to 51% • 25%
More than 51% • 25%
Less than 270 • 25%
270-300 • 25%
301-330 • 25%
More than 330 • 25%
304 • 25%
Less than 304 • 25%
More than 304 • 25%
Exactly 312 • 25%