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FBI concludes investigation into Chinese hackers by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official FBI statement or report
Story
FBI and CISA Investigate Chinese Hackers Intercepting Calls of U.S. Political Figures, Including Trump Adviser
Oct 27, 2024, 10:17 PM
Chinese state-affiliated hackers have intercepted audio from the phone calls of U.S. political figures, including an unnamed adviser to Donald Trump's presidential campaign. The unauthorized access was reported by the Washington Post and is currently under investigation by the FBI and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA). The hackers are believed to be part of a Chinese government-affiliated group, according to three people familiar with the matter.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed against Chinese nationals • 25%
Charges filed against U.S. nationals • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
China found responsible • 25%
Another nation found responsible • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Arrests made • 25%
No arrests but identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
