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Erdogan's involvement in Middle East peace negotiations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from Turkish government or mentions in international diplomatic communications
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Blinken Credits Erdogan for Bringing Hamas Back to Gaza Ceasefire Negotiations in Final News Conference
Jan 16, 2025, 06:43 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has acknowledged the role of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in facilitating the return of Hamas to ceasefire negotiations in Gaza. Blinken stated that the U.S. had sought Erdogan's assistance to use his influence to bring Hamas back to the negotiation table to finalize the Gaza deal, and that Erdogan successfully delivered on this request, leading to Hamas's return to the discussions. This was mentioned by Blinken during his final news conference.
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Yes • 50%
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Decreased influence • 25%
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Other • 25%
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UN-led mediation • 25%
Russia-led mediation • 25%
US-led mediation • 25%
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