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Market
Entity to claim responsibility for next significant attack in Israel-Lebanon conflict by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah • 25%
Israeli Defense Forces • 25%
Another group • 25%
No significant attack • 25%
Statements from the involved groups or confirmed reports by major news outlets
Story
Israeli Army Releases Footage of Golani Brigade Strikes on Hezbollah Compound in Lebanon
Oct 27, 2024, 06:00 AM
The Israeli army has released footage purportedly showing strikes on a Hezbollah underground compound in southern Lebanon. The footage, released on October 26, depicts airstrikes and ground operations by IDF soldiers. The underground facility, located in a forested area, was used to store anti-tank missiles, machine guns, assault rifles, and mortars. Troops from the Golani Brigade discovered the concealed site.
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Islamic Jihad • 25%
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Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) • 25%
Other Militant Group • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Iranian-backed Militia • 25%
Other • 25%
Kata'ib Hezbollah • 25%
Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq • 25%
Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba • 25%
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Hezbollah • 25%
IRGC • 25%
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No claim • 25%
Islamic Resistance in Iraq • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Amal Movement • 25%
Palestinian Groups in Lebanon • 25%
Palestinian Islamic Jihad • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Lone wolf or independent group • 25%
No major attack occurs • 25%