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Market
Dominant Influence on Trump's Immigration Policy by End of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pro-H-1B Faction • 25%
Anti-H-1B Faction • 25%
Moderate Faction • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis of policy decisions and public statements by Trump and his administration
Story
Trump Backs H-1B Visa Program Amid Musk's Defense of Sriram Krishnan and MAGA Civil War
Dec 29, 2024, 11:00 PM
The recent appointment of Sriram Krishnan, an Indian-American tech executive, as a senior policy adviser on artificial intelligence in President-elect Donald Trump's administration has ignited a fierce debate over H-1B visas. Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have publicly defended the H-1B visa program, emphasizing its importance for technology companies reliant on skilled foreign workers. However, their support has drawn ire from far-right factions within Trump's base, leading to a rift among conservatives. Musk has declared his intention to 'go to war' to protect the H-1B program, a stance that has provoked backlash from some Trump supporters who advocate for stricter immigration policies. Trump himself has weighed in, praising the H-1B visa program and stating that it is beneficial for the U.S. economy, marking a notable shift from his previous hardline immigration stance. This internal conflict among Trump supporters highlights the complexities of immigration policy within the GOP, particularly as it relates to the tech industry and the growing demand for skilled labor.
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Other • 25%
Reforming asylum policies • 25%
Strengthening border security • 25%
Deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Policies reversed by courts • 25%
Major changes enacted • 25%
Minor changes enacted • 25%
No changes enacted • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No official response • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
No clear data • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Other • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Mixed/Other • 25%
No Change • 25%
Mass deportations initiated • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Relaxed immigration policies • 25%
Increased immigration restrictions • 25%
Border Security • 25%
Deportation Procedures • 25%
Visa Regulations • 25%
Sanctuary Cities • 25%
No data available • 25%
Increase from 68% • 25%
Decrease from 68% • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Increased detention facilities • 25%
Border wall construction • 25%
Mass deportations • 25%
Enhanced border patrol enforcement • 25%
New immigration policy introduced • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Remain-in-Mexico policy reinstated • 25%
Mass deportation plan initiated • 25%
Divided • 25%
Mostly unfavorable • 25%
Mostly favorable • 25%
No clear opinion • 25%
Focus on Criminal Convictions • 25%
Mixed Strategy • 25%
Focus on Family Deportations • 25%
Focus on All Illegal Immigrants • 25%