Loading...
Market
Confirmed Secretary of Defense by March 31, 2025?
5
Donald Trump•Pete Hegseth•Hegseth•Senate•Elbridge Colby•Trump•the Pentagon•Tommy Tuberville•Mike Rounds•Rick Scott
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Elbridge Colby • 25%
Another Nominee • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Official Senate confirmation records
Story
Trump Backs Pete Hegseth Amid Senate Opposition and Controversy
Dec 6, 2024, 03:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his support for Pete Hegseth as his nominee for Secretary of Defense despite mounting opposition. Hegseth, a former military officer and media personality, faces significant challenges in securing Senate confirmation, with some senators reportedly working to block his nomination. Speculation has also emerged about Elbridge Colby as a potential replacement if Hegseth’s confirmation fails. Additionally, reports indicate that Hegseth previously settled a sexual-assault allegation, which has added to the controversy. Trump has doubled down on his endorsement, citing Hegseth’s qualifications and vision for the Pentagon. Several senators, including Tommy Tuberville, Mike Rounds, and Rick Scott, have expressed their support for Hegseth, while others, including up to eight senators, remain critical of his nomination.
View original story
Similar markets
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
No Confirmation by Deadline • 25%
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 33%
Ron DeSantis confirmed • 33%
Another nominee confirmed • 34%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Alternate Nominee • 25%
Interim Appointment • 25%
Position Vacant • 25%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Other • 25%
Pete Hegseth confirmed • 25%
Ron DeSantis nominated • 25%
Another person nominated • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mike Rogers • 25%
Another candidate • 25%
Position remains unfilled • 25%
Other • 25%
Pete Hegseth • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
No Nomination by Deadline • 25%
Steve Feinberg • 25%
Another Candidate • 25%
Position Remains Vacant • 25%
Other • 25%
Trae Stephens • 25%
Stephen Feinberg • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other • 25%
Mike Rogers appointed • 25%
Another candidate appointed • 25%
Position remains unfilled • 25%
Current Secretary remains • 25%