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Conclusion of Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Ministry or credible international news agencies
Story
Israel's Gallant Vows to Eliminate Hezbollah Threat in Southern Lebanon, Nasrallah Eliminated
Oct 4, 2024, 10:57 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has announced that Israel's military operations in southern Lebanon will continue until Hezbollah's threat is completely eliminated. He stated that Hezbollah is receiving severe blows and that Israel has more surprises in store for the militant group. Gallant confirmed the elimination of Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah and emphasized that the operations will persist until all means of war are cleared. Gallant communicated these plans to commanders of the 36th Field Division. Israeli helicopters have been transporting wounded soldiers to a hospital in Haifa.
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Successful in neutralizing Hezbollah threat • 25%
Limited success with ongoing threats • 25%
No significant impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant reduction in Hezbollah presence • 25%
Stalemate with no major changes • 25%
Hezbollah regains strength • 25%
Other • 25%
Major military victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major military victory for Hezbollah • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Israeli victory • 25%
Hezbollah victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%