Loading...
Market
Cause of GaoJing 1-02 reentry determined by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical malfunction • 25%
Collision with space debris • 25%
Intentional deorbit • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports or statements from Chinese space agencies or international space organizations
Story
Chinese Satellite GaoJing 1-02 Reenters Atmosphere Over New Orleans at 10:08 PM CST, Visible Across Southeast
Dec 22, 2024, 05:17 AM
A Chinese commercial imaging satellite, GaoJing 1-02 (SuperView-1), reentered Earth's atmosphere over New Orleans, Louisiana, on December 21, 2024, at approximately 10:08 PM CST, creating a spectacular display observed across several states. Reports indicate that thousands of witnesses in Louisiana, Mississippi, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Missouri saw the satellite break apart in the sky. The event was characterized by a slow-moving fireball, shedding debris, which led some meteorologists to initially speculate it could be a meteor. However, subsequent analysis confirmed it was likely space debris from the satellite's reentry. The satellite's trajectory was noted to be heading northbound towards Mississippi, Arkansas, and Missouri. Videos and images shared by observers captured the phenomenon, which was also reported by various weather and news outlets in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Design Flaw • 25%
Manufacturing Defect • 25%
Human Error • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
External factors • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Software issue • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket hardware failure • 25%
Software malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
Collision with space debris • 25%
Internal system failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled re-entry and destruction • 25%
Uncontrolled re-entry • 25%
Re-entry delayed beyond 2024 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Software issue • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Success • 33%
Failure • 33%
Postponed/Cancelled • 34%