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Market
Casualty count from Cybertruck explosion by January 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains at 8 (1 dead, 7 injured) • 25%
Increases to 9-10 • 25%
Increases to 11-12 • 25%
Increases to more than 12 • 25%
Official reports from local authorities or credible news sources
Story
Tesla Cybertruck Carrying Fireworks Explodes Outside Trump Hotel; FBI Probes Possible Terrorism
Jan 1, 2025, 11:49 PM
A Tesla Cybertruck exploded outside President-elect Donald Trump's hotel in Las Vegas on New Year's Day, killing the driver and injuring seven others, authorities said. The incident occurred near the entrance of the Trump International Hotel Las Vegas. Police said the vehicle appeared to be carrying fireworks when it caught fire and exploded. The FBI is investigating the cause of the explosion, including the possibility of an act of terrorism. The identities of the victims have not been released.
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Deliberate act • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Accidental Explosion • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorist Attack • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
External interference • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Deliberate Act • 25%
Other • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
External sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
Bomb • 25%
Fireworks • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Suicide • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorist activity • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Malfunction of the vehicle • 25%
Terrorist intent • 25%
Suicide due to PTSD • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
External interference • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Human error • 25%