Official announcements from Brazilian health authorities or government

Study Predicts Dengue Spread in Brazil and Mexico by 2039 Amid 8.1M Cases, 226% Increase

Jun 11, 2024, 10:40 AM

A recent study published in the journal Nature Communications predicts that dengue will cover nearly all municipalities of Brazil and Mexico by 2039. The study, conducted by researchers from the University of Toronto and other international institutions, utilized geospatial machine learning models to map out the future spread of dengue using data from regional environmental factors and historical data on human population mobility. This research comes amidst a severe public health crisis in Latin America, where dengue cases have surged by 226% from 2023, reaching 8.1 million cases this year. The increase in dengue cases is attributed to climate change, which creates warmer conditions favorable for mosquito proliferation. The European Union's health agency has also reported a significant rise in dengue and other mosquito-borne diseases in Europe due to climate change. Experts are exploring how AI can help tackle emerging infectious diseases, with discussions involving the Uruguayan Health Ministry and Brazil's Instituto Butantan.